Congress beats the market by double digits — in the industries they regulate.
We scored 61,658 congressional trades and found that politicians consistently outperform on stocks in sectors their committees oversee. The pattern is statistically impossible without non-public information.
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The Evidence
61,658 trades scored. Performance sorted by Conviction Score tier. Higher conviction, higher returns. Exposed but legal.
The Committee Chair Premium: How the Gavel Adds 14% Annual Return
Committee chairs consistently outperform rank-and-file members trading in the same sectors. The extra information that comes with the gavel has a measurable dollar value — and it persists across party lines.
By Paul E. TishanWe apply statistical analysis to every congressional financial disclosure. Our Conviction Score measures whether a politician's trades show patterns consistent with access to non-public information.
Capitol Gains publishes mathematical calculations on public government filings. We do not provide investment advice. What you do with that number is your business.